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Qual 352014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red118
426423.3
261452.8
319618.2
Blue43
457631.1
39727.9
518621.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8543010015020011843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#3
52.82.0
38.2→40.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 21.7
4576
#20
31.10.3
26.0→25.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4264
#19
23.33.3
19.0→22.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.2
5186
#26
21.10.6
17.7→17.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3196
#24
18.22.0
21.2→23.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.2
3972
#36
7.90.6
6.1→5.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—