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Red21
463030.7
40988.5
43968.6
Blue221
385616.7
492415.8
396624.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5227010015020021221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4630
#25
30.72.2
25.423.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
3966
#21
24.515.9
17.333.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4396
#49
8.62.2
8.96.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
3856
#48
16.715.9
9.625.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4098
#46
8.52.2
13.611.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
4924
#30
15.815.9
3.819.7
Auto
Teleop
End