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Qual 462014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red115
384446.4
457631.1
500224.3
Blue76
34231.4
124926.1
402051.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7010005015020011576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3844
#5
46.43.3
33.8→37.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.2
4020
#13
51.61.6
41.4→39.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4576
#20
31.12.0
25.7→27.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.3
342
#23
31.41.0
23.0→22.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5002
#2
24.32.0
15.5→17.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.8
1249
#41
26.11.6
30.8→29.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—