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Qual 492014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red19
297333.7
503413.4
367522.5
Blue107
450421.9
426423.3
426565.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5795015020019107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2973
#17
33.73.7
25.8→22.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 31.8
4265
#7
65.51.5
49.4→50.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3675
#33
22.53.7
19.7→16.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.8
4264
#19
23.31.5
22.3→23.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5034
#47
13.43.7
17.5→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.4
4504
#27
21.91.5
17.6→19.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—