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Red6
319618.2
448912.5
504516.8
Blue28
474014.6
314020.9
386111.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58480100150200250300628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3196
#24
18.22.5
21.118.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
3140
#14
20.91.1
15.414.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5045
#35
16.84.2
25.321.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
4740
#29
14.61.8
23.621.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4489
#34
12.52.5
10.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
3861
#22
11.21.8
10.68.8
Auto
Teleop
End