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Qual 572014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red175
261452.8
498917.5
402051.6
Blue61
384317.7
124926.1
503413.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9554015020025017561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#3
52.84.3
42.8→47.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 26.7
1249
#41
26.10.0
29.2→29.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4020
#13
51.67.2
39.8→46.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 33.9
3843
#31
17.70.0
17.6→17.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4989
#32
17.57.2
6.4→13.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.1
5034
#47
13.40.0
13.8→13.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—