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Red96
38295.5
28146.8
314020.9
Blue105
40988.5
239353.4
384446.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4998015020025096105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#11
46.81.9
38.840.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
53.41.1
47.348.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3140
#14
20.91.9
14.316.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.6
46.41.1
38.339.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3829
#43
5.53.0
4.07.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
4098
#46
8.51.1
5.26.3
Auto
Teleop
End