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Red78
239353.4
382474.3
498917.5
Blue26
385616.7
319618.2
500224.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1064301502002507826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#12
74.31.2
61.760.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 50.0
24.31.5
11.29.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
53.41.5
20.719.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 35.3
3196
#24
18.22.0
27.525.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4989
#32
17.55.0
17.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3856
#48
16.72.3
14.312.0
Auto
Teleop
End