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Qual 702014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red45
34231.4
386111.2
351625.7
Blue71
450421.9
348943.0
325924.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4810401502002503004571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#23
31.40.6
28.8→28.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.6
3489
#4
43.01.2
42.3→41.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3516
#6
25.70.6
21.0→20.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.7
3259
#8
24.11.8
27.4→25.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3861
#22
11.20.8
6.8→6.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.7
4504
#27
21.91.8
25.7→24.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—