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Qual 832014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red140
351625.7
463030.7
402051.6
Blue77
457631.1
146622.6
314020.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1096805015020025014077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#13
51.62.3
50.2→52.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 20.5
4576
#20
31.10.1
31.0→31.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4630
#25
30.72.3
28.4→30.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.1
1466
#16
22.60.2
22.8→22.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3516
#6
25.71.9
23.8→25.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.9
3140
#14
20.90.1
20.7→20.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—