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Red117
34231.4
349230.0
28146.8
Blue78
384317.7
319618.2
382474.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9411505015020025011778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#11
46.81.0
43.344.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.5
3824
#12
74.31.7
76.374.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
342
#23
31.41.0
27.928.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
3196
#24
18.21.7
22.020.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3492
#10
30.01.2
26.027.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
3843
#31
17.72.1
13.611.6
Auto
Teleop
End