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Qual 892014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red105
502212.9
385616.7
426565.5
Blue73
261452.8
285613.4
450421.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions938905015020010573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#7
65.50.8
62.5→63.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.7
2614
#3
52.80.8
51.6→50.8
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Teleop—
End—
Second
3856
#48
16.70.8
15.9→16.7
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Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.2
4504
#27
21.91.0
23.8→22.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5022
#38
12.90.8
14.1→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.4
2856
#37
13.41.0
14.4→13.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—