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Qual 92014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red125
504516.8
426423.3
348943.0
Blue165
28146.8
448912.5
446233.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51640100150200125165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#4
43.04.4
27.2→31.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.8
281
#11
46.86.3
34.9→41.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4264
#19
23.36.0
11.5→17.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.7
4462
#9
33.08.6
20.0→28.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5045
#35
16.83.3
16.8→20.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.3
4489
#34
12.56.3
7.3→13.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—