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Red70
524236.5
278911.3
331034.5
Blue125
64722.4
241545.1
304315.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5489015020025070125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5242
#20
36.50.8
20.221.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
2415
#17
45.13.4
54.057.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3310
#26
34.50.8
32.132.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
647
#29
22.43.4
21.424.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2789
#11
11.30.5
7.68.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
3043
#28
15.63.4
8.712.1
Auto
Teleop
End