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Qual 232014 Dallas Regional
Red88
186045.5
384737.5
45732.5
Blue10
328228.7
278911.3
527219.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions955001502002508810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1860
#7
45.50.0
28.4→28.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.8
3282
#18
28.73.9
18.6→14.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3847
#14
37.50.0
26.3→26.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.3
5272
#35
19.33.9
30.5→26.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
457
#19
32.50.0
33.4→33.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 21.2
2789
#11
11.32.4
8.1→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—