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Qual 252014 Dallas Regional
Red72
436431.5
129631.6
284851.5
Blue122
147747.2
435416.7
300537.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779705015020072122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#4
51.50.7
35.3→34.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.3
1477
#21
47.22.3
54.0→56.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1296
#24
31.60.7
24.1→23.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.4
3005
#25
37.02.3
26.0→28.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4364
#31
31.50.7
20.8→20.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.8
4354
#38
16.72.3
14.0→16.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—