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Red12
36167.8
27476.2
521228.0
Blue131
129631.6
164212.1
406347.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43630208010012014012131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5212
#16
28.02.8
20.617.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.1
4063
#10
47.03.6
28.131.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3616
#39
7.82.8
21.518.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.8
1296
#24
31.65.9
23.429.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2747
#41
6.22.8
4.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
1642
#37
12.13.6
8.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End