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Red79
524236.5
464119.2
348126.7
Blue146
420619.7
505728.0
147747.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688105010015020025079146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5242
#20
36.50.8
25.826.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
1477
#21
47.25.6
56.461.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3481
#22
26.70.5
22.723.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
28.05.6
18.323.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4641
#32
19.20.8
21.522.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
4206
#23
19.73.3
4.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End