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Red179
436431.5
258725.3
45732.5
Blue90
304315.6
341318.2
406347.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8955010015020025017990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#19
32.54.8
31.135.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.5
4063
#10
47.01.5
31.733.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4364
#31
31.58.0
29.637.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
3413
#33
18.22.5
11.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2587
#34
25.38.0
22.830.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
3043
#28
15.62.5
16.919.4
Auto
Teleop
End