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Red125
215847.5
23143.6
278911.3
Blue122
129631.6
524236.5
258725.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8186050100150200125122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.52.1
31.533.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
5242
#20
36.53.0
29.032.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
231
#6
43.62.1
39.741.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
1296
#24
31.63.0
25.828.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2789
#11
11.32.1
10.813.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.0
2587
#34
25.33.0
30.833.8
Auto
Teleop
End