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Red99
384737.5
420619.7
64722.4
Blue120
280513.1
341318.2
215847.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7258010015020099120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#14
37.52.3
31.834.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
47.53.0
33.636.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
647
#29
22.42.3
19.822.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
3413
#33
18.24.7
13.317.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4206
#23
19.71.5
18.019.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
2805
#45
13.13.0
13.316.3
Auto
Teleop
End