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Semifinal 2-12014 Dallas Regional
Red148
348126.7
284851.5
215847.5
Blue147
300537.0
186045.5
399713.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13586050200250300350148147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#4
51.50.3
52.0→52.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.0
1860
#7
45.50.9
44.6→45.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2158
#2
47.50.3
47.9→48.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.5
3005
#25
37.00.9
36.1→37.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3481
#22
26.70.3
27.1→27.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.8
3997
#43
13.80.9
12.9→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—