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Red157
348126.7
215847.5
284851.5
Blue96
300537.0
186045.5
399713.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1358905020025030015796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.50.5
52.352.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
45.50.0
45.545.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
47.50.5
48.348.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
3005
#25
37.00.0
37.037.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3481
#22
26.70.5
27.528.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
3997
#43
13.80.0
13.813.8
Auto
Teleop
End