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Red205
118108.1
14898.1
258528.8
Blue185
147776.8
62479.3
399728.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2491720100200300400205185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
108.10.5
108.7108.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.8
624
#14
79.30.0
79.179.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
148
#1
98.10.5
98.898.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.4
76.80.0
76.676.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2585
#44
28.80.7
29.628.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3997
#10
28.80.0
28.628.6
Auto
Teleop
End