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Red137
23157.6
258741.9
530733.7
Blue40
432842.7
415520.7
258332.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9252015020013740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#3
57.62.6
46.549.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
4328
#15
42.71.5
16.114.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2587
#34
41.92.6
27.129.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
2583
#28
32.61.5
22.921.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5307
#22
33.74.3
12.416.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
4155
#43
20.71.5
19.417.9
Auto
Teleop
End