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Red25
44111.8
288219.8
302831.5
Blue45
484218.3
526121.3
65315.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444801001502002502545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3028
#47
31.51.6
19.217.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
5261
#17
21.30.2
16.316.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2882
#19
19.81.6
14.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
4842
#42
18.30.1
13.012.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
441
#48
11.81.1
11.210.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
653
#50
15.90.1
18.118.0
Auto
Teleop
End