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Red38
293615.4
142925.6
415520.7
Blue6
463923.0
429523.0
42805.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6938050100150200386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1429
#26
25.61.3
30.228.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
4639
#54
23.03.1
14.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4155
#43
20.72.2
17.915.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
4295
#18
23.03.1
20.017.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2936
#46
15.41.3
16.214.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
4280
#53
5.33.1
8.15.1
Auto
Teleop
End