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Red175
432842.7
372819.2
162238.9
Blue73
41840.2
526121.3
258232.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4573010015020017573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4328
#15
42.710.5
14.525.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
418
#23
40.20.2
33.633.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1622
#29
38.96.3
23.129.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
2582
#40
32.50.3
19.119.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3728
#31
19.210.5
11.922.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
5261
#17
21.30.3
16.116.5
Auto
Teleop
End