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Red117
432842.7
348136.6
284857.1
Blue166
461029.3
44111.8
384759.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115650150200250300350117166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#20
57.10.5
52.352.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
59.44.7
43.748.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4328
#15
42.70.8
25.025.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
29.34.7
19.223.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3481
#32
36.60.5
29.930.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.8
441
#48
11.84.7
10.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End