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Red155
62479.3
383437.7
258332.6
Blue131
373547.4
258528.8
118108.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109160050200250300350400155131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#14
79.31.9
77.979.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.8
118
#4
108.11.0
92.391.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
37.73.2
20.723.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
3735
#21
47.41.0
41.440.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2583
#28
32.63.2
18.321.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2585
#44
28.81.7
18.116.3
Auto
Teleop
End