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Red112
289729.7
415520.7
399924.7
Blue155
288219.8
180134.7
284857.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6192050150200250112155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2897
#41
29.73.8
26.430.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.3
2848
#20
57.13.4
50.654.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3999
#37
24.72.3
25.427.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
1801
#16
34.73.4
23.627.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4155
#43
20.73.8
14.418.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2882
#19
19.85.6
13.218.8
Auto
Teleop
End