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Red52
65315.9
301620.8
162238.9
Blue73
530733.7
399728.8
258528.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865601001502002505273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#29
38.91.5
37.836.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
5307
#22
33.70.9
22.423.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3016
#27
20.82.3
24.822.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
3997
#10
28.80.6
21.722.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
653
#50
15.91.5
18.517.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.9
2585
#44
28.80.9
16.717.7
Auto
Teleop
End