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Red103
333538.8
288219.8
142925.6
Blue12
44111.8
530816.6
293615.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions983605015020010312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3335
#12
38.80.8
37.438.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.2
5308
#25
16.62.4
19.717.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1429
#26
25.60.8
28.829.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
2936
#46
15.41.7
11.49.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2882
#19
19.81.1
21.722.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
441
#48
11.81.7
14.512.8
Auto
Teleop
End