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Red130
23157.6
302831.5
415520.7
Blue112
509321.0
5721.6
41840.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76540100150200130112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#3
57.62.9
43.646.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
418
#23
40.22.7
32.535.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3028
#47
31.54.8
14.419.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
57
#36
21.63.3
16.820.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4155
#43
20.74.8
14.619.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
5093
#24
21.03.3
8.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End