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Red29
301620.8
372819.2
458919.3
Blue73
432842.7
174515.5
458740.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629901502002502973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3016
#27
20.82.8
22.519.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.9
4328
#15
42.71.5
38.036.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4589
#33
19.31.9
17.815.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.6
4587
#11
40.91.0
36.935.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3728
#31
19.22.8
27.424.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
1745
#38
15.51.5
18.617.1
Auto
Teleop
End