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Qual 832014 Lone Star Regional
Red150
258741.9
463923.0
384759.4
Blue158
383437.7
258232.5
288136.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11376050150200250150158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#5
59.42.2
52.4→54.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 21.7
3834
#9
37.75.5
26.4→31.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2587
#34
41.92.2
34.4→36.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.3
2881
#39
36.63.8
28.0→31.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4639
#54
23.02.9
20.2→23.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.5
2582
#40
32.55.5
27.6→33.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—