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Red121
415520.7
12558.6
62479.3
Blue142
258232.5
301620.8
147776.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96130050150200250300121142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#14
79.31.0
74.575.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
76.80.9
72.072.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4155
#43
20.71.3
19.520.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
2582
#40
32.51.1
33.134.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1255
#52
8.61.0
7.68.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
3016
#27
20.81.1
19.720.8
Auto
Teleop
End