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Qual 902014 Lone Star Regional
Red105
302831.5
458740.9
530733.7
Blue196
293615.4
354549.3
383437.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10479050150200250300105196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#11
40.90.2
35.9→36.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.3
3545
#45
49.37.5
41.8→49.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5307
#22
33.70.3
33.4→33.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.0
3834
#9
37.77.5
31.9→39.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3028
#47
31.50.3
31.2→31.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.2
2936
#46
15.45.6
9.7→15.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—