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Red75
530422.5
265729.3
261329.7
Blue11
473411.9
42988.1
180123.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413702060801001207511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2613
#16
29.72.9
10.012.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
1801
#23
23.32.3
15.613.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
29.32.9
17.320.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
4734
#35
11.92.3
15.713.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5304
#33
22.52.9
13.216.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.3
4298
#34
8.12.3
6.74.5
Auto
Teleop
End