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Red0
261329.7
479910.6
532018.5
Blue86
277330.1
362629.8
406327.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29620100150200250300086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2613
#16
29.72.9
12.910.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2773
#20
30.12.4
21.624.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5320
#28
18.55.9
17.011.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
29.82.4
15.918.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4799
#39
10.62.9
7.54.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.1
4063
#15
27.71.8
19.621.4
Auto
Teleop
End