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Red105
530232.8
471711.6
350718.1
Blue136
261329.7
415340.8
473411.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6864050100150105136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5302
#14
32.83.1
22.425.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
4153
#10
40.86.0
34.340.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3507
#13
18.13.1
23.526.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
2613
#16
29.76.0
19.425.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4717
#29
11.63.1
21.524.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
4734
#35
11.96.0
10.716.7
Auto
Teleop
End