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Red31
374131.8
291421.5
296513.1
Blue33
246110.3
362629.8
116426.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83690501001502003133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.83.9
36.432.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
29.83.0
25.022.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2914
#27
21.53.9
25.421.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
26.93.0
25.222.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2965
#32
13.13.9
18.915.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
2461
#19
10.33.0
21.218.2
Auto
Teleop
End