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Red67
261329.7
485218.5
469433.3
Blue87
349728.8
458724.1
374131.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67850501001502002506787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4694
#11
33.30.2
21.821.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
31.80.4
32.632.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2613
#16
29.70.2
31.030.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3497
#22
28.80.4
23.924.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4852
#30
18.50.2
17.217.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
24.10.4
25.626.0
Auto
Teleop
End