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Red20
297227.2
457011.5
246110.3
Blue95
410214.6
415340.8
406327.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537901001502002095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2972
#17
27.22.7
28.425.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.6
4153
#10
40.81.4
45.246.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4570
#40
11.52.7
10.47.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.2
4063
#15
27.71.0
21.122.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2461
#19
10.32.7
18.215.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
4102
#37
14.61.4
9.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End