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Red165
479816.4
530232.8
246857.7
Blue11
277330.1
471711.6
530422.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757305010015020016511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.74.5
46.150.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.6
2773
#20
30.14.5
25.921.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5302
#14
32.86.5
21.227.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
5304
#33
22.54.5
27.022.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4798
#38
16.46.5
7.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
4717
#29
11.64.5
20.215.7
Auto
Teleop
End