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Red177
530232.8
180123.3
349728.8
Blue73
393120.0
374131.8
415340.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55113010015020025017773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5302
#14
32.87.5
27.735.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
4153
#10
40.82.1
46.644.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3497
#22
28.87.5
24.231.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
31.82.1
32.930.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1801
#23
23.37.5
12.019.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3931
#25
20.02.1
24.222.2
Auto
Teleop
End