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Red81
258750.5
215846.1
28819.5
Blue101
129635.8
399128.3
375337.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10910005015020025030081101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
Unranked
50.50.4
51.050.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
3753
Unranked
37.10.0
37.137.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2158
Unranked
46.10.4
46.546.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
1296
Unranked
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2881
Unranked
9.50.4
9.99.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.8
3991
Unranked
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto
Teleop
End