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Red70
399128.3
258750.5
42069.3
Blue0
295018.4
999519.8
436424.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8870050150200250300350700

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
Unranked
50.50.8
49.048.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.5
4364
Unranked
24.03.6
27.924.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3991
Unranked
28.30.8
23.022.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
9995
Unranked
19.86.1
14.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4206
Unranked
9.30.8
13.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
2950
Unranked
18.43.6
30.226.6
Auto
Teleop
End