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Red8
399128.3
171013.5
28819.5
Blue100
999616.5
215846.1
99987.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456201001502008100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3991
Unranked
28.32.0
22.220.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.8
2158
Unranked
46.12.0
39.541.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1710
Unranked
13.52.0
17.315.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
9996
Unranked
16.53.4
15.919.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2881
Unranked
9.52.0
8.06.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
9998
Unranked
7.02.7
4.26.9
Auto
Teleop
End