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Red1
62484.7
384732.5
50700.9
Blue0
14872.8
27890.8
373536.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131117020030040050010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
Unranked
84.72.1
89.187.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
148
Unranked
72.82.0
76.374.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3847
Unranked
32.52.1
37.034.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
3735
Unranked
36.72.0
38.736.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5070
Unranked
0.92.1
3.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2789
Unranked
0.82.0
4.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End